Legislative Update
Senate. The Senate this week will begin debate on the House-passed SAVE America Act, which would require proof of citizenship to register to vote in federal elections and tighten identification rules at the polls. The vote to take up the House measure, which will require only a simple majority, is expected Tuesday afternoon. Extended debate will then take place with no one sure exactly how long it will last although some Senators have speculated it could be as long as seven to 10 days.
During this time, votes are expected on amendments that President Trump wants, including restrictions on mail-in voting, banning transgender women from participating in women’s sports, and prohibiting gender-affirming surgery for children. Sixty votes will be needed for approval of these amendments. Democrats could also file lengthy amendments and force the bill clerks to read hundreds of pages of legislative text. Eventually, there will be a vote on cloture to limit debate, which will fall short of the 60 votes needed. Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-S.D.) is then expected to turn to other business.
House. Among the bills on the House schedule this week are two measures dealing with the deportation of non-U.S. citizens who defraud the government or harm an animal used by federal law enforcement. Under suspension of the rules, the House will consider a Senate-passed bill to reauthorize the Small Business Innovation Research and Small Business Technology Transfer programs.
Committee Action of Note
Monday, March 16
Tuesday, March 17
Wednesday, March 18
Thursday, March 19
Executive Action of Note
Among last week’s executive actions, President Trump signed two orders on March 13 dealing with home affordability. The first directs federal agencies to review and reform rules that delay home construction. The second is aimed at streamlining the process for home mortgages, making it easier for smaller community banks to provide home loans.
Tariff Update
Tariff Refunds. A Customs and Border Protection (CBP) official last week told the Court of International Trade that CBP will phase in the development of its process to refund the IEEPA tariffs that were invalidated by the Supreme Court. In the first phase, CBP expects to process the majority of the refunds but not those subject to antidumping or countervailing duties. CBP must provide the court with another update on its activities by March 19.
Section 301 Investigations. On March 11, the Trump administration announced trade investigations into potential unfair trading practices by 16 of America’s largest trading partners. The investigations, which are being undertaken using Section 301 of the Trade Act of 1974, are targeting China, Mexico, the European Union, Singapore, Switzerland, Norway, Indonesia, Malaysia, Cambodia, Thailand, Korea, Vietnam, Taiwan, Bangladesh, Japan, and India.
Section 301 allows the U.S. to investigate “unreasonable or discriminatory” foreign practices that burden U.S. commerce and then to impose tariffs in response. This round of 301 investigations is based on the administration’s belief that the trading partners are producing more than their domestic markets can absorb and exporting the surplus, thereby harming U.S. manufacturers. The U.S. Trade Representative will now consult with each of the trading partners, receive comments from interested parties, and hold public hearings that begin May 5. By early summer, USTR could recommend new tariffs on a wide range of manufactured goods or related trade measures against the targeted companies.
On March 12, USTR announced the initiation of Section 301 investigations into the practices of 60 trading partners related to the failure to impose and effectively enforce a prohibition on the importation of goods produced with forced labor. USTR aims to determine whether the failure to prohibit forced labor imports is unreasonable or discriminatory and burdens U.S. commerce. Among those on the targeted list are Mexico, Canada, the European Union, and China.
Political Update
Illinois Primary. Illinois will hold primaries Tuesday, with attention focused on the Democratic race to succeed retiring Senator Dick Durbin (D). The top candidates are Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi, Lt. Gov. Julian Stratton, and Rep. Robin Kelly. The top vote-getter in the Democratic race is likely to claim the Senate seat in the November general election. Voters on Tuesday will also choose candidates to replace retiring Democratic Reps. Danny Davis and Jan Schakowsky as well as Reps. Krishnamoorthi and Kelly.
Georgia Special Election. In the March 10 special primary to fill the seat of former Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-Ga.), no candidate received a majority of the votes. The top two vote getters, Republican Clay Fuller and Democrat Shawn Harris, will contend for the seat in an April 7 runoff. The seat is expected to remain in Republican hands.
The Senate this week plans to vote on a budget resolution that will unlock the budget reconciliation process if it is approved by both chambers.
Read MoreSenate Budget Committee Chairman Lindsey Graham could release an FY 2026 budget resolution as soon as this week. The resolution, which would start the reconciliation process to provide funding for ICE and border protection, could reach the Senate floor as soon as the week of April 20.
Read MoreWhen Congress returns to Washington the week of April 13, Republicans will be focused on what to include in a second reconciliation package that the President wants on his desk by June 1.
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