Legislative Update
Presidential Address. President Trump will deliver an address to Congress and the American public at 9 p.m. on Tuesday. Senator Elissa Slotkin (D-Mich.) and Rep. Adriano Espaillat (D-N.Y.) will provide Democratic responses in English and Spanish, respectively.
Senate. The Senate is continuing to consider nominations, including voting to confirm Linda McMahon as Secretary of Education on Monday. Senators could also move forward on the nomination of Lori Chaves-DeRemer as Labor Secretary. A Senate vote on the nomination of Rep. Elise Stefanik (R-N.Y) to serve as U.N. ambassador continues to be on hold as House Speaker Mike Johnson and the White House are reluctant to lose a reliable GOP vote in the narrowly divided House. PSW has kept tabs on all the nominations, which can be found at our PSW Confirmation Tracker.
House. The House will take votes on three Congressional Review Act joint resolutions of disapproval to repeal Biden Administration rulings. The resolutions include measures that would repeal an Interior Department rule requiring identification of archaeological locations like shipwrecks near offshore drilling sites; an EPA rule on national emissions standards for the production of rubber tires; and an Energy Department rule expanding energy conservation standards and labeling requirements for some appliances.
Budget Resolution. Following the House’s 217-215 vote on Feb. 25 to adopt an FY 2025 budget resolution, House and Senate negotiators must now forge a compromise version that can be approved by both chambers. Party leaders have not said whether there will be a formal conference committee or informal negotiations, but various Senators have laid down markers for what provisions they believe should be in the final resolution, and many of their demands are not slam dunks for House approval.
They include permanent extension of the Trump tax cuts, trimming the House’s deep cuts to federal spending (which was a demand of some House Republicans), and deleting the House version’s $4 trillion increase in the debt limit. While party leaders want to move quickly to find common ground, it is unclear how long it will take to hammer out a compromise.
Until the budget resolution is adopted by both chambers, the reconciliation process cannot formally begin. However, committee Republicans plan to move forward with discussions on how to craft legislation in their jurisdiction. House Ways and Means Republicans, for example, are tentatively planning to kick off this exercise with two, day-long sessions next week to examine both the TCJA tax cuts and potential revenue raisers, such as changes to Biden’s green energy tax benefits.
FY 2025 Spending Bills. With the current continuing resolution expiring on March 14, House Speaker Mike Johnson wants lawmakers to approve a new CR that would fund the government through Sept. 30, the end of the current fiscal year. Assuming this long-term legislation can be drafted quickly, a rule for floor consideration will need to be approved by first the Rules Committee and then the full House. Since it is typically up to the governing party to approve floor debate rules, Johnson will need the support of almost every Republican to pass the rule for the CR. Two Republicans, Reps. Tony Gonzales of Texas and Don Bacon of Nebraska, have already voiced concerns about passing a year-long CR rather than individual appropriations bills.
Lacking enough Republican support in the past to approve the rule for consideration of government funding bills, Johnson has had to pass them by suspending the rules and relying on Democratic support since a two-thirds majority is needed for suspension bills. Democrats would likely prefer a short-term CR to allow negotiations to continue on regular appropriations bills, so it is not a given that Johnson will be able to count on their support next week.
Timing is also a factor for any suspension votes. In January, House Republicans adopted a new rule (not to be confused with rules for floor debate) providing that bills can only be considered under suspension of the rules on Mondays, Tuesdays, and Wednesdays, unless a special rule is adopted to change that rule. It may sound confusing, but the intent is to prevent the leadership from jamming through bills at the end of the week (and March 14 is a Friday).
In general, CRs maintain the previous year’s level of appropriated funding, but they can also provide funding increases for certain programs, and Johnson’s CR is expected to include a number of funding increases. Also, the Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2003 provides that if a CR is in place on April 30, there will be across-the-board cuts to federal spending. Because these cuts would disproportionately hit defense spending, the expectation is that the automatic sequester will be “turned off.” This could be done either through legislative language in the CR itself or through an administrative decision since the responsibility for ordering the automatic cuts is up to the Office of Management and Budget and some Republicans have argued that a year-long CR should not trigger the automatic cuts.
If House Republicans next week approve both the floor debate rule and the long-term CR, the next question will be whether 60 Senators will agree. If there is no agreement by Friday, either because of House or Senate objections, it appears that there are two possible scenarios – either a government shutdown or passage of a short-term CR to avoid a shutdown.
Committee Action of Note
Tuesday, March 4
Wednesday, March 5
Thursday, March 6
Recent Executive Actions of Note
As President Trump continues to take executive action on a number of fronts, the Executive Orders can be found here, while all presidential actions can be found on the White House website here. Recent presidential actions include:
The recent deaths of two Democratic members mean the House now has 218 Republicans, 213 Democrats, and four vacancies. April 1 special elections in Florida will fill vacancies for two Republican seats.
Read MoreLawmakers this week will consider legislation that would continue government funding beyond March 14 and avoid a shutdown.
Read MoreThe House is planning to move forward next week on a year-long continuing resolution, but it is unclear whether it can pass with only Republican votes. The current CR expires March 14.
Read More