Legislative Update
Senate. The Senate will continue to consider nominations. Both chambers plan to recess at the end of this week and will be gone for two weeks for the Easter and Passover break.
House. The House abruptly adjourned for the week last Tuesday after Speaker Mike Johnson was rebuffed in a vote on his effort to block Rep. Anna Paulina Luna’s legislation to allow proxy voting in the House for new parents. Luna (R-Fla.) said Sunday that a deal has been reached that will end the standoff that has halted work in the House. Under the agreement, proxy voting would continue to be prohibited, but “vote pairing” will be formalized, which will allow a member who is absent during a vote to coordinate with a present member on the opposite side of the vote and offset the absence. Luna said the voting option would be open to all members who are unable to vote, including new parents, the bereaved, and lawmakers facing various medical and family emergencies.
With the impasse over proxy voting apparently resolved, the House will consider the various measures that were scheduled to be voted on last week. This includes two Congressional Review Act resolutions that have been approved by the Senate. One would repeal the Biden Administration rule capping overdraft fees that large banks and credit unions can charge, while the other would repeal a rule that expands the oversight of digital payment apps like Venmo and PayPal. The House will also vote on the SAVE Act, which would require individuals to provide proof of U.S. citizenship in person when registering to vote in federal elections.
The major vote of the week will be on the FY 2025 budget resolution that the Senate approved 51-48 on Saturday. Johnson has a bit more room to navigate close votes now that two more Republicans have been sworn in. Reps. Jimmy Patronis and Randy Fine were sworn in April 2 after their special election victories in Florida to fill the seats of Republican Reps. Matt Gaetz and Mike Waltz, respectively. The House now stands at 220 Republicans and 213 Democrats, with two Democratic vacancies. A special election on Sept. 23 will fill the seat of Rep. Raul Grijalva (D-Ariz.), while Texas Gov. Greg Abbott has set November 4 as the date for a special election to fill the seat of Rep. Sylvester Turner, who died on March 5.
Budget Resolution. Speaker Johnson is tentatively planning to bring the Senate-amended budget resolution to the floor Wednesday afternoon. Over a dozen House Republicans have voiced opposition to the measure, but the question is whether they will actually vote no under pressure from President Trump to adopt the resolution. The reasoning behind opposition to the Senate version is reflected in Budget Chairman Jodey Arrington’s (R-Tex.) observation that “the Senate response was unserious and disappointing, creating $5.8 trillion in new costs and a mere $4 billion in enforceable cuts…. It also sets a dangerous precedent by direct scoring tax policy without including enforceable offsets.”
Rather than working out an agreement with the House on instructions for reconciliation, the Senate left the House’s instructions to its committees intact and then inserted its own, very different instructions for its committees. Thus, the budget resolution adopted by the Senate calls for Senate committees to come up with a minimum of $4 billion in spending cuts while House committees have instructions for at least $1.5 trillion in cuts.
The “direct scoring” that Arrington referred to is the Senate’s use of a current policy baseline, which would score as zero the cost of extending some $3.8 trillion in tax cuts that are expiring at the end of the year. The Senate resolution then provides for at least $1.5 trillion more in tax cuts. The House, on the other hand, uses the conventional baseline based on current law and provides instructions for $4.5 trillion in tax breaks. Another major difference is that the Senate instructs the Finance Committee to increase the debt limit by $5 trillion while the House Ways and Means Committee is instructed to provide a $4 trillion increase.
House and Senate Republican leaders have decided to move forward with this novel approach to a budget resolution with the intent of resolving differences between the two chambers later in the negotiations over the budget reconciliation legislation.
Tariffs. Today President Trump said he would impose an additional 50% tariff on goods from China, effective April 9, if China does not withdraw the 34% tariff it said that it would impose on U.S. goods, effective April 10, in response to the 34% “reciprocal” tariff on China that Trump announced on April 2. Before Trump’s threat today, China was already facing a cumulative tariff rate of at least 54% when adding in the 20% tariffs Trump imposed in February to address the flow of fentanyl from China into the U.S. Hiking the 34% rate to 50% could mean Chinese goods would face tariffs of at least 70%.
The “reciprocal” tariffs for China and other U.S. trading partners that Trump announced last week were intended, the Administration said, to reciprocate against other countries’ tariffs and trade barriers. However, economists have pointed out that the higher tariff rates for some 60 countries that maintain trade surpluses with the U.S. do not actually reflect tariffs and trade barriers imposed by those countries. Instead, the U.S. determined the tariff rates using a formula taking into account each country’s exports and imports.
Committee Action of Note
Monday, April 7
Tuesday, April 8
Wednesday, April 9
Thursday, April 10
Recent Executive Actions of Note
The President’s recent executive actions include:
Check out the PSW tariff tracker for the latest developments on the tariff front.
Read MoreLast week the Senate adopted its version of the FY 2025 budget resolution. The President wants the House to approve it this week, but there is opposition in the Republican ranks.
Read MoreThe recent deaths of two Democratic members mean the House now has 218 Republicans, 213 Democrats, and four vacancies. April 1 special elections in Florida will fill vacancies for two Republican seats.
Read More