Legislative Update
House. Speaker Mike Johnson has laid out an ambitious agenda before the House begins its summer recess on Thursday afternoon. If the House agrees on Tuesday to a rule for floor consideration, which has not been a given lately, the House this week will vote on a budget resolution, a continuing resolution, the defense authorization bill, a stock trading bill that includes voter ID rules, and a package of community bank regulatory reforms.
FY 2027 Budget Resolution. The resolution instructs four House committees to craft legislation to be part of a reconciliation bill, with maximum spending limits for each panel: Agriculture, $12 billion; Armed Services, $60 billion; Intelligence, $13 billion; and House Administration, $10 billion. While the resolution is not intended to provide details of how that money will be spent, the Agriculture funds are designed to help farmers, who have seen fertilizer and fuel costs rise during the Middle East conflict and from tariff impacts; the Armed Services and Intelligence funds are to rebuild weapons stockpiles being depleted by the Iran war and to fund classified programs; and the House Administration’s $10 billion would be designed to fund grants to states that enact stricter voting rules and require proof of citizenship to vote. A number of House Republicans have voiced concerns with the proposal, noting among other things that the $95 billion in spending is not offset; that the Ways and Means Committee, which has jurisdiction over revenue measures, will not be involved in the reconciliation process as it did not receive any instructions; and that the measure does not include the $350 billion in defense spending requested by President Trump.
Continuing Resolution. With no expectation that Congress will pass the 12 FY 2027 appropriations bills before the new fiscal year begins on Oct. 1, the House is looking to vote on a continuing resolution that provides government funding from Oct. 1 until Dec. 4. While the House Appropriations Committee has approved all 12 of the spending measures, only three have been approved by the full House: Agriculture-FDA, Military Construction-Veterans Affairs, and National Security-State Department. The Senate Appropriations Committee hasn’t approved any FY 2027 measure as Republicans and Democrats continue to disagree on topline spending levels.
National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA). While the defense bill had bipartisan support when it was approved by the House Armed Services Committee, Democratic support is likely to peel off if the full House votes to approve amendments opposed by the Democratic caucus.
Stock Trading/Voter ID. Two priorities of the House Freedom Caucus are combined in legislation that would (1) impose restrictions on stock purchases by Members of Congress and their families and (2) require voters in federal elections to present government-issued photo ID, including if they vote by mail.
Senate. The Senate and House are not in session at the same time in the coming weeks. While the House leaves Thursday afternoon and will return Aug. 31 for one week before the Labor Day break, the Senate plans to stay in session through Sept. 3 and will not return until Sept. 14. Beginning the week of Sept. 14, the House and Senate will be in session for three weeks, leaving on Oct. 1 and 2, respectively, until the week of Nov. 9. This week, the Senate will continue to consider nominations. Last week, the Senate failed to get sufficient votes to move forward on consideration of its version of the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA), and Senate Democratic leadership doesn’t anticipate the Senate taking up the measure before the summer recess begins.
Committee Action of Note:
Monday, July 20
Tuesday, July 21
Wednesday, July 22
Thursday, July 23
Friday, July 24
Executive Action of Note:
On July 13, President Trump sent to the Senate the nomination of Keith Sonderling to be Labor Secretary; on July 16, the Senate Health, Education, Labor, and Pensions (HELP) Committee held a hearing on the nomination; and on July 23, the HELP Committee is scheduled to vote on the nomination.
Tariff Update
Brazil. The U.S. will impose 25% tariffs on certain goods imported from Brazil, effective July 22, but trade experts believe two-thirds of Brazilian exports to the U.S. will not have to pay the duties because the order includes a long list of exemptions. The July 15 announcement by the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative followed a yearlong investigation under Section 301 of the 1974 Trade Act to determine if Brazil engaged in unfair trade practices. In response, Brazil’s president said that his country did not recognize the legitimacy of the U.S. trade investigation and promised to retaliate.
Canada. This afternoon, President Trump said he would impose 50% tariffs on most goods imported from Canada, effective in 30 days, “in response to Canada’s discriminatory treatment of American products,” according to a White House fact sheet. The 30-day delay provides time for the two countries to negotiate a resolution to the dispute. The tariffs, which would be imposed under Section 338 of the Tariff Act of 1930, would not exempt those goods that are covered by the USMCA trade agreement. In a separate action, the President on July 17 threatened to impose additional tariffs on Canada to pay for the “incalculable” cost of Canadian wildfire smoke impacting the U.S. The White House has not specified what legal authority would be used to impose the tariffs or how the tariff rate would be calculated.
Political Update
Arizona Primaries. In Tuesday’s Arizona primaries, two Republican House members – Reps. Andy Biggs and David Schweikert – are among the contenders to be their party’s nominee to challenge incumbent Gov. Katie Hobbs (D), creating open seats in the 5th and 1st Congressional districts, respectively. Both parties have hotly contested primaries for Schweikert’s seat. In the gubernatorial primary, Biggs has President Trump’s endorsement and is expected to win the nomination.
The Senate has a busy schedule in the last week before its summer recess, including votes on a temporary government funding bill, a Russia sanctions bill, and the nomination of a new attorney general.
Read MoreThe House is out but the Senate has a busy week, with possible votes related to a Russia sanctions bill, a cryptocurrency proposal, and the nomination of a new Director of National Intelligence.
Read MoreThe House has a packed agenda this week, including consideration of a budget resolution that provides instructions for a third reconciliation bill.
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